CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-10-12T14:23:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-10-12T14:23ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/41707/-1
CME Note: [PRELIMINARY] This CME is visible to the north/northwest in SOHO LASCO C2 and GOES CCOR-1 imagery, and to the northeast in STEREO A COR2 imagery. It is the more northern front (or lobe) seen in STEREO A COR2 at the time, with the more southern lobe being a little slower in its propagation through COR2 field of view. The source is likely the complex eruption observed from the vicinity of Active Region 14246 (N25W15) starting around 2025-10-12T13:30Z as seen in GOES SUVI 131, 171, 195, 284, 304 imagery, with extensive dimming seen in GOES SUVI 195 and STEREO A EUVI 195 imagery.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-10-15T16:11Z
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.5
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 64.70 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-10-12T23:29Z
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